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2022-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 17.6% 82.4% -
Bradley-Terry 33.2% 66.8% -
Margin 23.5% 76.5% +6.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.0% 51.0% -
Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% -
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +5 (130-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 36 11-20 1-6 3-3 5 10 1 0 26 22 -
Kevin Huerter * 30 3-14 1-8 2-2 5 4 0 0 9 4 -
Domantas Sabonis * 22 6-10 0-1 7-8 14 4 0 1 19 28 -
Harrison Barnes * 21 1-1 0-0 2-4 2 0 1 0 4 6 -
KZ Okpala * 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Keegan Murray 38 6-14 4-10 0-0 4 0 1 0 16 7 -
Malik Monk 28 6-15 4-10 0-0 7 8 3 0 16 19 -
Richaun Holmes 16 6-8 0-0 3-4 5 0 1 0 15 13 -
Terence Davis 15 3-6 0-2 1-2 2 0 1 0 7 4 -
Davion Mitchell 11 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 7 6 -
Chimezie Metu 10 1-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 1 1 4 8 -
Trey Lyles 3 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 31 10-19 2-6 2-3 5 1 3 2 24 16 -
Stephen Curry * 31 11-22 7-12 4-4 5 2 1 0 33 19 -
Draymond Green * 28 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 4 0 0 7 11 -
Klay Thompson * 27 3-10 2-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 8 5 -
Kevon Looney * 24 3-4 0-0 0-2 8 6 0 1 6 17 -
Jordan Poole 27 7-14 3-5 7-9 0 4 1 0 24 15 -
James Wiseman 19 5-7 0-0 4-6 6 3 0 0 14 16 -
Moses Moody 18 0-1 0-1 3-4 1 0 0 1 3 4 -
JaMychal Green 12 1-2 0-1 1-2 4 0 2 1 3 8 -
Donte DiVincenzo 10 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
Jonathan Kuminga 7 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Ryan Rollins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter