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2022-10-24

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 27.5% 72.5% -
Margin 19.1% 80.9% +7.9 (17.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.6% 56.4% -
Log Adjusted 43.6% 56.4% -
Points Off/Def 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -10 (106-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 33 13-19 3-7 1-3 11 3 1 0 30 26 -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 30 5-9 1-3 4-4 8 5 1 0 15 20 -
Jaden McDaniels * 27 5-9 0-2 1-2 1 0 4 1 11 8 -
D'Angelo Russell * 25 2-5 0-2 2-2 3 6 1 0 6 11 -
Rudy Gobert * 24 7-9 0-1 1-3 15 1 0 1 15 23 -
Jaylen Nowell 23 5-16 1-6 3-4 6 1 2 0 14 7 -
Taurean Prince 23 4-8 3-5 0-0 3 3 0 0 11 9 -
Jordan McLaughlin 21 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 0 5 -
Naz Reid 13 5-7 2-4 2-4 3 1 0 1 14 12 -
Bryn Forbes 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Wendell Moore Jr. 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Nathan Knight 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 29 6-15 2-7 6-6 3 2 2 0 20 12 -
Tre Mann * 27 5-12 0-6 0-1 3 3 1 0 10 5 -
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * 25 5-6 3-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 15 15 -
Josh Giddey * 21 5-11 0-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 10 6 -
Kenrich Williams * 18 3-8 0-2 0-2 2 1 1 0 6 2 -
Aaron Wiggins 25 1-3 0-2 3-4 2 1 0 1 5 6 -
Ousmane Dieng 23 2-6 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 2 5 11 -
Lindy Waters III 13 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Aleksej Pokusevski 13 1-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Eugene Omoruyi 11 5-7 1-2 2-3 3 1 0 0 13 10 -
Mike Muscala 11 4-6 1-3 2-2 9 0 0 1 11 15 -
Jaylin Williams 7 2-4 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 0 4 8 -
Isaiah Joe 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 4 -
Darius Bazley 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter