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2022-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 12.6% 87.4% -
Bradley-Terry 12.8% 87.2% -
Margin 4.1% 95.9% +17.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.8% 60.2% -
Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.9% 74.1% -
Log Adjusted 25.9% 74.1% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +10 (117-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 41 11-16 0-1 5-7 4 5 2 0 27 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 37 4-8 1-2 2-4 2 3 0 2 11 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 37 7-16 4-8 0-1 11 3 1 1 18 - -
Monte Morris * 26 5-8 3-3 0-0 3 6 0 0 13 - -
Deni Avdija * 14 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 - -
Will Barton 35 4-11 1-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 9 - -
Delon Wright 26 2-5 1-3 2-3 2 5 2 0 7 - -
Rui Hachimura 20 7-12 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 16 - -
Daniel Gafford 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 - -
Anthony Gill 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 44 12-29 5-12 8-9 5 4 3 1 37 - -
Jarrett Allen * 37 6-13 0-0 3-4 14 3 0 2 15 - -
Evan Mobley * 36 2-7 0-0 6-6 7 2 2 1 10 - -
Caris LeVert * 35 4-14 2-6 0-0 3 4 2 0 10 - -
Isaac Okoro * 20 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Cedi Osman 31 6-10 3-5 1-1 0 3 1 0 16 - -
Dean Wade 21 3-4 2-3 4-5 3 2 0 1 12 - -
Kevin Love 14 2-6 1-4 0-0 7 0 0 0 5 - -
Robin Lopez 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 6 - -
Raul Neto 8 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -

* = starter