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2022-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 44.0% 56.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 27.0% 73.0% - โœ—
Margin 17.0% 83.0% +8.7 โœ— (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 27.4% 72.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 30.4% 69.6% - โœ—

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -17 (109-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Smith Jr. * 33 8-16 1-2 1-1 2 6 3 1 18 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 9-20 3-6 3-3 10 0 1 0 24 - -
Gordon Hayward * 31 4-10 1-4 3-5 3 5 1 0 12 - -
Mason Plumlee * 26 2-4 0-0 4-9 8 6 0 1 8 - -
P.J. Washington * 21 4-8 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 12 - -
Jalen McDaniels 20 3-6 1-3 2-2 5 3 0 1 9 - -
Nick Richards 20 9-9 0-0 2-3 11 1 0 2 20 - -
James Bouknight 17 3-9 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 10 - -
JT Thor 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 1 5 - -
Theo Maledon 14 1-1 0-0 2-3 0 4 1 0 4 - -
Bryce McGowens 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Kai Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Mark Williams 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 38 7-15 2-4 3-3 8 5 1 1 19 - -
John Collins * 38 3-12 0-7 4-4 10 1 1 4 10 - -
Trae Young * 33 9-25 2-8 8-9 5 9 0 0 28 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 31 4-11 1-5 1-2 5 4 1 0 10 - -
Clint Capela * 22 6-8 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 1 14 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 23 4-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 2 10 - -
Justin Holiday 17 1-7 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Aaron Holiday 13 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Jalen Johnson 9 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 - -
AJ Griffin 6 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 8 - -
Trent Forrest 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Tyrese Martin 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Vit Krejci 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter