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2022-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 26.8% 73.2% -
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% -
Margin 22.6% 77.4% +6.8 (23.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.0% 64.0% -
Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.5% 76.5% -
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% -
Points Off/Def 27.5% 72.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks -17 (109-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Smith Jr. * 33 8-16 1-2 1-1 2 6 3 1 18 14 -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 9-20 3-6 3-3 10 0 1 0 24 15 -
Gordon Hayward * 31 4-10 1-4 3-5 3 5 1 0 12 11 -
Mason Plumlee * 26 2-4 0-0 4-9 8 6 0 1 8 19 -
P.J. Washington * 21 4-8 2-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 12 8 -
Jalen McDaniels 20 3-6 1-3 2-2 5 3 0 1 9 12 -
Nick Richards 20 9-9 0-0 2-3 11 1 0 2 20 25 -
James Bouknight 17 3-9 2-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 10 5 -
JT Thor 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 1 5 8 -
Theo Maledon 14 1-1 0-0 2-3 0 4 1 0 4 8 -
Bryce McGowens 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Kai Jones 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Mark Williams 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 38 7-15 2-4 3-3 8 5 1 1 19 19 -
John Collins * 38 3-12 0-7 4-4 10 1 1 4 10 14 -
Trae Young * 33 9-25 2-8 8-9 5 9 0 0 28 17 -
De'Andre Hunter * 31 4-11 1-5 1-2 5 4 1 0 10 9 -
Clint Capela * 22 6-8 0-0 2-2 10 1 1 1 14 19 -
Onyeka Okongwu 23 4-6 0-0 2-4 5 1 1 2 10 13 -
Justin Holiday 17 1-7 1-5 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 -3 -
Aaron Holiday 13 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 -1 -
Jalen Johnson 9 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 3 3 -
AJ Griffin 6 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 2 0 8 6 -
Trent Forrest 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
Tyrese Martin 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Vit Krejci 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter