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2022-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.1% 63.9% -
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 31.1% 68.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.0% 65.0% -
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% -
Points Off/Def 35.8% 64.2% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -2 (104-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 36 3-5 1-1 2-2 16 5 2 0 9 27 -
Anfernee Simons * 35 5-17 0-6 2-2 1 2 1 0 12 -1 -
Damian Lillard * 34 15-25 6-13 5-7 5 2 0 1 41 24 -
Jerami Grant * 34 5-11 2-3 4-4 2 1 0 0 16 8 -
Jusuf Nurkic * 30 2-5 0-0 2-2 13 4 0 1 6 19 -
Justise Winslow 25 2-8 0-0 3-4 5 3 2 1 7 10 -
Shaedon Sharpe 16 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 5 -
Nassir Little 14 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 5 -
Drew Eubanks 13 0-1 0-0 4-6 3 0 0 1 4 7 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 37 12-22 2-9 5-7 8 8 2 2 31 29 -
Anthony Davis * 36 9-17 0-3 4-4 10 3 2 6 22 26 -
Lonnie Walker IV * 32 7-13 1-5 0-1 4 1 1 1 15 9 -
Patrick Beverley * 29 1-3 1-3 4-4 4 5 1 0 7 14 -
Russell Westbrook * 27 4-15 0-3 2-3 6 6 0 0 10 7 -
Troy Brown Jr. 22 2-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 4 3 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 19 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 4 -
Austin Reaves 18 2-5 2-4 1-1 0 1 1 0 7 4 -
Kendrick Nunn 9 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
Damian Jones 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -

* = starter