Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.8% | 49.2% | -0.2 | ✗ (41.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +41 (137-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 24 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 23 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 8 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenneth Lofton Jr. | 8 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vince Williams Jr. | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 29 | 12-23 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 24 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 25 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 12-14 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 21 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyler Dorsey | 4 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter