Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.4 | ✗ (20.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +20 (125-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 5-15 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 6-19 | 4-7 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 10 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 27 | 5-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Usman Garuba * | 25 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 22 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Tari Eason | 18 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | |
| Trevor Hudgins | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 32 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 22 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 27 | 17-21 | 2-3 | 8-13 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 38 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 27 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| George Hill | 23 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 22 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 17 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| A.J. Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter