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2022-10-23

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 53.4% 46.6% -
Bradley-Terry 61.0% 39.0% -
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 (26.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.8% 49.2% -
Efficiency 60.1% 39.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.2% 40.8% -
Log Adjusted 59.2% 40.8% -
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -32 (96-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 34 10-19 4-6 8-9 9 8 1 0 32 - -
Caris LeVert * 33 4-12 3-6 3-4 4 8 1 1 14 - -
Jarrett Allen * 28 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 8 - -
Isaac Okoro * 26 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Evan Mobley * 24 7-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 16 - -
Cedi Osman 25 5-8 2-3 3-3 2 4 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Love 22 5-9 5-6 0-0 12 4 0 0 15 - -
Raul Neto 15 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 4 1 0 6 - -
Robin Lopez 15 6-7 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 12 - -
Lamar Stevens 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Mobley 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Dean Wade 4 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 5 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 32 3-9 0-0 7-7 2 1 3 0 13 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 30 7-12 2-3 0-0 4 3 0 3 16 - -
Zach LaVine * 28 9-17 2-6 3-4 3 4 2 0 23 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 27 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 5 - -
Patrick Williams * 15 2-7 1-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Coby White 23 2-8 0-5 1-1 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Alex Caruso 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 2-3 1-1 3-4 2 0 2 1 8 - -
Andre Drummond 13 3-8 0-1 2-2 7 0 2 0 8 - -
Javonte Green 13 2-5 0-2 2-3 3 2 2 2 6 - -
Goran Dragic 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 4 - -
Tony Bradley 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Marko Simonovic 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter