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2022-10-22

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% -
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% -
Margin 75.5% 24.5% -6.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% -
Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% -
Log Adjusted 74.6% 25.4% -
Points Off/Def 64.0% 36.0% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -6 (120-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 37 4-16 1-6 3-4 9 4 1 1 12 - -
Jayson Tatum * 37 14-21 4-10 8-9 8 1 1 2 40 - -
Derrick White * 36 10-17 5-9 2-3 4 4 1 0 27 - -
Marcus Smart * 36 2-11 1-9 1-1 2 8 1 0 6 - -
Noah Vonleh * 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 - -
Grant Williams 31 3-3 3-3 4-4 6 2 0 2 13 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 20 4-10 1-4 4-5 2 4 0 0 13 - -
Blake Griffin 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 - -
Sam Hauser 6 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -
Payton Pritchard 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terrence Ross * 35 11-16 5-8 2-2 4 1 1 0 29 - -
Franz Wagner * 34 8-17 2-6 0-0 6 2 1 0 18 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 34 6-13 1-1 2-4 12 5 0 1 15 - -
Paolo Banchero * 33 6-19 2-7 9-11 5 3 0 1 23 - -
Cole Anthony * 31 6-13 2-5 0-2 9 6 1 1 14 - -
Kevon Harris 18 1-4 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Chuma Okeke 16 3-3 2-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 8 - -
Bol Bol 14 3-7 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 4 6 - -
Mo Bamba 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
R.J. Hampton 9 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 - -

* = starter