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2022-10-22

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Indiana Pacers Spread Result
Elo 81.5% 18.5% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 50.6% 49.4% -0.1 (9.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Log Adjusted 30.2% 69.8% -
Points Off/Def 32.7% 67.3% -

Actual: Indiana Pacers +9 (124-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 36 5-16 2-8 8-8 11 3 1 0 20 - -
Jaden Ivey * 34 6-13 2-3 3-6 11 5 1 0 17 - -
Cade Cunningham * 33 8-19 4-8 2-2 4 4 1 0 22 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 32 5-16 4-10 2-2 3 5 0 0 16 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 29 2-10 1-4 6-10 16 2 0 0 11 - -
Jalen Duren 18 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 6 - -
Killian Hayes 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 1 5 - -
Cory Joseph 16 3-6 2-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Isaiah Livers 15 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 8 - -
Hamidou Diallo 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 - -

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 32 7-16 3-6 7-8 4 10 5 0 24 - -
Jalen Smith * 27 9-16 1-5 0-1 15 1 0 3 19 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 23 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 3 7 - -
Isaiah Jackson * 21 2-6 0-0 4-5 5 1 0 5 8 - -
Buddy Hield * 15 2-8 2-6 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 30 10-18 5-8 2-2 7 2 0 0 27 - -
Goga Bitadze 25 6-8 1-3 1-4 15 4 1 1 14 - -
Chris Duarte 21 3-14 1-7 2-2 2 2 0 1 9 - -
Terry Taylor 20 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 1 0 - -
T.J. McConnell 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 - -
Andrew Nembhard 9 3-6 2-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 8 - -

* = starter