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2022-10-22

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.9% 54.1% -
Margin 42.4% 57.6% +1.7 (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 27.8% 72.2% -
Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.1% 89.9% -
Log Adjusted 10.1% 89.9% -
Points Off/Def 17.0% 83.0% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -9 (105-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Vassell * 34 9-14 4-8 0-0 4 3 1 0 22 16 -
Keldon Johnson * 31 7-17 3-8 4-5 8 0 1 0 21 13 -
Tre Jones * 30 6-12 0-0 5-5 2 4 1 0 17 12 -
Jakob Poeltl * 27 6-9 0-0 1-2 11 3 0 1 13 19 -
Jeremy Sochan * 10 0-3 0-2 1-2 3 1 0 1 1 3 -
Doug McDermott 24 5-9 4-5 0-0 3 1 0 1 14 10 -
Joshua Primo 22 2-8 1-4 0-0 3 4 0 1 5 5 -
Josh Richardson 20 4-9 2-6 1-1 1 3 1 0 11 7 -
Isaiah Roby 13 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 8 -
Gorgui Dieng 12 1-4 0-3 0-0 1 5 0 2 2 6 -
Zach Collins 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 6 -
Keita Bates-Diop 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 4-18 1-6 3-4 9 12 1 2 12 18 -
Tyrese Maxey * 39 8-18 3-8 6-9 3 6 1 0 25 17 -
Tobias Harris * 35 6-11 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 15 10 -
Joel Embiid * 35 14-25 0-2 12-15 13 3 1 2 40 34 -
P.J. Tucker * 28 1-2 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 7 -
Danuel House Jr. 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 4 -
De'Anthony Melton 15 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 3 -
Georges Niang 15 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
Montrezl Harrell 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
Matisse Thybulle 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter