Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -5 (123-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 11-11 | 12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 35 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 30 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 5-12 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 27 | 6-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 19 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 37 | 8-17 | 2-8 | 5-7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 35 | 10-22 | 5-11 | 9-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 21 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 26 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 23 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 23 | 6-14 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 27 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| James Wiseman | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 13 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter