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2022-10-22

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 72.7% 27.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 76.2% 23.8% - โœ“
Margin 82.9% 17.1% -8.7 โœ“ (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.6% 37.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 77.8% 22.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.6% 32.4% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (122-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Adams * 33 3-4 0-0 0-2 9 2 0 2 6 - -
Desmond Bane * 33 3-16 3-10 5-5 6 7 2 0 14 - -
Santi Aldama * 31 3-11 0-3 2-4 9 3 1 3 8 - -
Ja Morant * 31 17-26 5-6 10-13 4 8 1 2 49 - -
John Konchar * 30 7-11 3-6 0-0 5 0 3 1 17 - -
David Roddy 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Tyus Jones 21 4-13 3-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 11 - -
Jake LaRavia 15 4-7 3-4 1-1 5 0 0 1 12 - -
Brandon Clarke 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 1 4 - -
Xavier Tillman 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 35 13-21 4-5 3-4 5 2 1 0 33 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 35 6-16 4-8 2-4 5 4 0 0 18 - -
Eric Gordon * 35 5-12 2-5 5-7 4 4 0 0 17 - -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 34 3-14 2-8 2-2 1 1 0 2 10 - -
Bruno Fernando * 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Alperen Sengun 27 9-13 1-2 4-10 12 1 1 2 23 - -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 24 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 3 1 1 8 - -
Tari Eason 19 2-6 1-2 1-1 7 1 0 1 6 - -
Garrison Mathews 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Josh Christopher 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter