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2022-10-22

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 25.0% 75.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 34.9% 65.1% +3.4 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% -
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Log Adjusted 73.0% 27.0% -
Points Off/Def 63.1% 36.9% -

Actual: Houston Rockets -7 (122-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Adams * 33 3-4 0-0 0-2 9 2 0 2 6 15 -
Desmond Bane * 33 3-16 3-10 5-5 6 7 2 0 14 13 -
Santi Aldama * 31 3-11 0-3 2-4 9 3 1 3 8 13 -
Ja Morant * 31 17-26 5-6 10-13 4 8 1 2 49 38 -
John Konchar * 30 7-11 3-6 0-0 5 0 3 1 17 15 -
David Roddy 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 5 -
Tyus Jones 21 4-13 3-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 11 6 -
Jake LaRavia 15 4-7 3-4 1-1 5 0 0 1 12 11 -
Brandon Clarke 14 1-2 0-0 2-4 4 2 0 1 4 9 -
Xavier Tillman 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Green * 35 13-21 4-5 3-4 5 2 1 0 33 20 -
Kevin Porter Jr. * 35 6-16 4-8 2-4 5 4 0 0 18 11 -
Eric Gordon * 35 5-12 2-5 5-7 4 4 0 0 17 13 -
Jabari Smith Jr. * 34 3-14 2-8 2-2 1 1 0 2 10 0 -
Bruno Fernando * 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 4 8 -
Alperen Sengun 27 9-13 1-2 4-10 12 1 1 2 23 26 -
Kenyon Martin Jr. 24 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 3 1 1 8 13 -
Tari Eason 19 2-6 1-2 1-1 7 1 0 1 6 9 -
Garrison Mathews 12 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Josh Christopher 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter