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2022-10-21

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 67.5% 32.5% -
Bradley-Terry 36.7% 63.3% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (20.4 off)
Pythagorean 31.1% 68.9% -
Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Log Adjusted 16.2% 83.8% -
Points Off/Def 22.6% 77.4% -

Actual: New York Knicks +24 (130-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 32 9-15 4-8 4-4 7 0 1 1 26 20 -
Cade Cunningham * 32 6-16 1-6 2-4 8 7 2 0 15 16 -
Isaiah Stewart * 30 3-9 1-6 1-4 10 1 1 1 8 12 -
Jaden Ivey * 29 6-12 1-4 4-4 2 9 0 0 17 16 -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 26 7-9 1-2 3-4 4 1 0 0 18 14 -
Jalen Duren 22 4-8 0-1 0-1 10 0 1 0 8 11 -
Killian Hayes 17 0-5 0-3 1-2 1 5 0 0 1 2 -
Hamidou Diallo 15 1-5 0-0 2-7 2 0 1 0 4 2 -
Cory Joseph 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 4 -
Kevin Knox II 11 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 -2 -
Braxton Key 4 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Rodney McGruder 4 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Buddy Boeheim 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Brunson * 28 6-11 2-4 3-5 2 6 1 0 17 15 -
RJ Barrett * 27 8-15 0-3 2-2 3 4 0 1 18 11 -
Julius Randle * 25 5-12 2-3 3-4 6 0 0 0 15 9 -
Mitchell Robinson * 23 3-3 0-0 2-4 5 1 0 2 8 13 -
Evan Fournier * 19 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 2 1 1 8 5 -
Immanuel Quickley 27 8-14 3-8 1-1 7 7 0 0 20 20 -
Isaiah Hartenstein 21 2-4 1-2 1-2 11 0 2 1 6 16 -
Obi Toppin 20 7-12 2-5 0-0 4 3 0 1 16 12 -
Cam Reddish 18 3-8 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 6 2 -
Derrick Rose 16 4-6 3-4 2-2 3 6 0 0 13 16 -
Miles McBride 3 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jericho Sims 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Svi Mykhailiuk 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
Ryan Arcidiacono 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Trevor Keels 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter