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2022-10-21

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% -
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% -
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (108-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 35 4-10 0-3 0-0 7 3 4 0 8 - -
Terrence Ross * 35 4-8 1-4 2-2 4 2 0 1 11 - -
Paolo Banchero * 33 6-18 1-6 7-8 12 2 1 3 20 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 4-13 0-7 6-7 8 2 0 0 14 - -
Jalen Suggs * 15 1-5 0-3 1-3 2 1 3 0 3 - -
Cole Anthony 28 8-12 4-5 5-7 0 2 1 1 25 - -
R.J. Hampton 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Mo Bamba 15 2-6 1-3 2-2 6 2 0 0 7 - -
Chuma Okeke 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Bol Bol 11 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 2 5 - -
Kevon Harris 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 39 8-16 2-5 2-2 9 9 4 0 20 - -
Trae Young * 37 7-24 4-11 7-7 4 13 0 0 25 - -
John Collins * 36 9-14 3-4 2-2 13 0 3 1 23 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 32 5-12 1-3 1-1 6 1 0 0 12 - -
Clint Capela * 31 4-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 1 8 - -
Justin Holiday 20 3-8 3-6 0-0 1 2 1 0 9 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 - -
Aaron Holiday 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Jalen Johnson 11 1-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -

* = starter