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2022-10-21

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 68.2% 31.8% -
Bradley-Terry 64.7% 35.3% -
Margin 74.0% 26.0% -5.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 50.4% 49.6% -
Efficiency 56.5% 43.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 56.9% 43.1% -
Log Adjusted 56.9% 43.1% -
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +2 (102-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 36 11-23 0-2 10-11 6 6 1 0 32 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 31 3-9 1-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Alex Caruso * 30 1-4 0-2 1-2 3 1 3 1 3 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 29 5-14 2-7 12-12 8 1 0 0 24 - -
Patrick Williams * 23 2-5 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 1 7 - -
Coby White 31 3-6 2-4 2-4 2 1 1 0 10 - -
Goran Dragic 23 3-8 1-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 7 - -
Andre Drummond 18 5-6 0-0 0-2 10 1 0 1 10 - -
Javonte Green 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 36 9-14 1-2 0-0 1 8 0 2 19 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 33 8-16 4-8 6-7 6 2 0 0 26 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 28 6-13 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 2 14 - -
Monte Morris * 26 4-8 1-3 0-0 4 3 1 1 9 - -
Deni Avdija * 23 2-4 2-2 0-0 10 4 1 1 6 - -
Rui Hachimura 23 4-9 0-2 4-4 4 1 0 0 12 - -
Delon Wright 21 3-8 0-3 0-0 3 4 3 1 6 - -
Will Barton 17 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 0 6 - -
Daniel Gafford 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 - -
Anthony Gill 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter