Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.7% | 63.3% | +3.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -3 (134-137). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Jones * | 35 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 33 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 13-21 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 28 | 8-13 | 6-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 18 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 27 | 9-18 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 24 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 16 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 30 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 28 | 8-15 | 3-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 21 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 18 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 16 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| James Johnson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter