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2022-10-21

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 36.4% 63.6% -
Bradley-Terry 52.9% 47.1% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 60.8% 39.2% -
Efficiency 73.0% 27.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.5% 25.5% -
Log Adjusted 74.5% 25.5% -
Points Off/Def 63.5% 36.5% -

Actual: Charlotte Hornets -12 (112-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 37 8-16 1-1 11-11 9 7 2 1 28 - -
Herbert Jones * 31 2-3 0-0 3-3 2 2 0 2 7 - -
CJ McCollum * 31 9-17 2-6 1-1 6 2 1 0 21 - -
Zion Williamson * 30 7-19 0-0 2-4 5 3 1 0 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 29 8-11 1-3 13-14 17 4 1 1 30 - -
Trey Murphy III 19 3-9 2-5 0-0 3 0 3 0 8 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 2 2 - -
Jose Alvarado 14 2-4 1-3 1-2 2 1 1 0 6 - -
Naji Marshall 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 - -
Devonte' Graham 11 1-4 1-4 1-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Willy Hernangomez 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 37 12-19 1-2 1-2 2 7 2 0 26 - -
Terry Rozier * 36 7-24 2-8 7-8 8 11 1 2 23 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 30 6-13 2-6 1-2 4 0 2 0 15 - -
P.J. Washington * 29 4-13 2-8 0-0 3 2 1 1 10 - -
Mason Plumlee * 18 4-5 0-0 0-0 5 4 0 0 8 - -
Nick Richards 26 2-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 0 6 - -
Jalen McDaniels 26 5-7 4-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 14 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. 22 4-7 2-3 0-0 2 4 3 0 10 - -
James Bouknight 13 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter