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2022-10-20

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% -
Bradley-Terry 54.3% 45.7% -
Margin 53.6% 46.4% -0.8 (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 45.6% 54.4% -
Efficiency 43.9% 56.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.2% 58.8% -
Log Adjusted 41.2% 58.8% -
Points Off/Def 39.2% 60.8% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers -2 (88-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 36 9-16 1-3 2-5 13 8 1 3 21 - -
Jrue Holiday * 35 2-15 0-6 2-2 4 8 2 0 6 - -
Grayson Allen * 32 3-10 2-6 4-5 3 4 0 0 12 - -
Brook Lopez * 30 6-16 4-12 1-2 4 1 0 2 17 - -
Jevon Carter * 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 5 - -
Bobby Portis 22 5-10 1-4 0-0 10 0 0 0 11 - -
George Hill 20 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Wesley Matthews 20 3-6 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Jordan Nwora 15 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Serge Ibaka 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 40 13-24 1-7 4-4 8 9 2 1 31 - -
P.J. Tucker * 39 1-3 1-2 2-2 5 1 2 1 5 - -
Joel Embiid * 36 6-21 1-3 2-3 12 3 0 1 15 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 34 6-13 0-3 3-4 2 0 0 0 15 - -
Tobias Harris * 33 4-10 1-4 0-0 10 2 1 2 9 - -
Danuel House Jr. 21 2-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
De'Anthony Melton 19 4-7 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Georges Niang 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Montrezl Harrell 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Matisse Thybulle 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter