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2022-10-20

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 71.5% 28.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.3% 56.7% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% -
Efficiency 23.8% 76.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Log Adjusted 23.3% 76.7% -
Points Off/Def 27.6% 72.4% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -7 (108-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Hart * 38 8-11 0-0 3-3 7 5 1 0 19 21 -
Damian Lillard * 36 5-18 1-8 9-9 4 8 2 0 20 16 -
Anfernee Simons * 35 9-22 3-10 1-2 3 2 2 0 22 7 -
Jerami Grant * 35 5-11 3-3 10-13 8 1 2 0 23 23 -
Jusuf Nurkic * 25 3-9 0-0 2-2 7 1 2 0 8 9 -
Justise Winslow 26 5-9 1-2 0-0 8 0 1 0 11 11 -
Shaedon Sharpe 16 4-6 3-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 12 9 -
Drew Eubanks 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 6 -
Nassir Little 10 0-2 0-2 0-2 2 1 1 0 0 2 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 35 12-21 5-9 4-5 7 7 2 0 33 28 -
Domantas Sabonis * 33 5-10 0-1 3-6 4 5 1 1 13 14 -
Harrison Barnes * 31 4-8 0-2 1-2 8 4 0 1 9 14 -
Kevin Huerter * 28 8-12 6-9 1-2 3 2 1 0 23 17 -
KZ Okpala * 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -
Davion Mitchell 25 1-8 0-5 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 1 -
Terence Davis 25 4-9 2-5 4-4 5 1 2 1 14 14 -
Malik Monk 15 2-7 2-5 0-0 2 3 0 1 6 5 -
Trey Lyles 14 2-8 2-7 0-0 4 0 1 0 6 3 -
Richaun Holmes 14 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 2 6 -

* = starter