Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.8% | 63.2% | +3.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (107-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 38 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 10-23 | 2-10 | 13-13 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 27 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 26 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 25 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 24 | 9-15 | 4-7 | 3-10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 41 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 40 | 10-20 | 1-1 | 7-7 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 27 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 19 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Dario Saric | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter