Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.3% | 75.7% | +6.2 | ✗ (33.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -27 (102-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Washington * | 29 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | - | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 29 | 10-19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 28 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 7-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. * | 22 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 23 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dennis Smith Jr. | 21 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Nick Richards | 21 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| James Bouknight | 14 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JT Thor | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Mark Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kai Jones | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cody Martin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 29 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 28 | 3-15 | 0-8 | 5-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 26 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 24 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo | 25 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 16 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter