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2022-10-19

Model Predictions

Model New York Knicks Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 55.7% 44.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% - ✗
Margin 45.8% 54.2% +0.9 ✓ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% - ✓
Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 49.2% 50.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.0% 56.0% - ✓

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +3 (115-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 37 3-18 0-6 5-6 8 3 0 0 11 - -
Jalen Brunson * 36 7-18 1-4 0-0 6 9 0 0 15 - -
Julius Randle * 34 9-16 2-6 4-5 11 6 2 0 24 - -
Evan Fournier * 32 4-11 3-6 3-3 4 3 2 0 14 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 12 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 2 4 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 40 7-11 0-3 2-2 8 4 0 1 16 - -
Cam Reddish 28 9-15 3-6 1-1 5 0 3 1 22 - -
Immanuel Quickley 16 0-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Obi Toppin 13 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Rose 12 2-8 0-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 4 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Santi Aldama * 38 7-14 3-8 1-2 11 1 1 1 18 - -
Ja Morant * 37 11-24 3-6 9-11 4 9 0 1 34 - -
Desmond Bane * 37 6-22 3-13 1-2 4 6 0 1 16 - -
John Konchar * 33 4-11 4-9 0-0 11 2 2 0 12 - -
Steven Adams * 32 1-2 0-0 1-4 14 3 1 1 3 - -
Tyus Jones 24 6-16 3-8 0-2 4 3 1 0 15 - -
Brandon Clarke 18 4-6 0-2 0-0 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Xavier Tillman 15 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 4 - -
David Roddy 12 0-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Jake LaRavia 12 1-2 1-2 2-2 2 1 1 1 5 - -

* = starter