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2022-10-19

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 51.6% 48.4% -
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% -
Margin 73.9% 26.1% -5.7 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +3 (108-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Mobley * 35 5-9 1-3 3-4 6 1 1 1 14 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 34 12-21 2-8 5-6 2 9 2 0 31 - -
Caris LeVert * 34 2-7 2-2 4-4 5 7 0 0 10 - -
Jarrett Allen * 33 5-8 0-0 3-4 10 0 0 2 13 - -
Darius Garland * 13 2-8 0-1 0-0 1 3 2 1 4 - -
Cedi Osman 27 6-12 3-6 2-2 3 1 0 0 17 - -
Dean Wade 21 3-4 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 1 8 - -
Kevin Love 20 3-6 1-4 1-1 7 2 0 0 8 - -
Isaac Okoro 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Raul Neto 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fred VanVleet * 38 4-9 3-6 4-4 2 5 4 0 15 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 37 5-12 2-5 6-7 7 5 3 1 18 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 36 5-12 4-8 5-7 5 0 1 0 19 - -
Pascal Siakam * 34 9-20 1-3 4-8 11 1 3 0 23 - -
Scottie Barnes * 32 7-14 1-1 0-0 3 7 2 1 15 - -
Precious Achiuwa 17 4-11 1-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 10 - -
Christian Koloko 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 3 - -
Thaddeus Young 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 - -
Dalano Banton 9 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 1 2 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter