Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -8 (108-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 36 | 14-22 | 2-3 | 7-11 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 37 | 33 | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu * | 36 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 16 | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 33 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 24 | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Coby White | 24 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - | |
| Javonte Green | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 18 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy Butler * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 14-16 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 26 | - | |
| Tyler Herro * | 34 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - | |
| Kyle Lowry * | 34 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 33 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| Caleb Martin * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - | |
| Max Strus | 30 | 7-9 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 13 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 10 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter