Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.7% | 39.3% | -2.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.0% | 75.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +10 (117-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 33 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 6-17 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 32 | 7-20 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando * | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun | 22 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 12 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 37 | 7-22 | 1-9 | 8-8 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 33 | 9-12 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 32 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter