Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Indiana Pacers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 13.3% | 86.7% | +10.3 | ✗ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Pacers -7 (107-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 34 | 8-19 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 31 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 21 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Delon Wright | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| Will Barton | 25 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 24 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 15 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - |
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 35 | 10-18 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 31 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Terry Taylor * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 22 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Duarte * | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 27 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 22 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Oshae Brissett | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter