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2022-10-19

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 33.7% 66.3% +3.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% -
Efficiency 67.2% 32.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% -
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +4 (113-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 35 11-18 0-0 5-7 9 5 0 2 27 - -
Franz Wagner * 34 8-18 2-6 2-2 4 5 0 0 20 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 32 5-8 1-2 0-0 11 3 1 1 11 - -
Terrence Ross * 31 5-12 3-8 0-1 4 1 1 0 13 - -
Jalen Suggs * 25 8-11 4-6 1-1 1 3 2 0 21 - -
Caleb Houstan 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 - -
Bol Bol 17 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 0 0 1 10 - -
Chuma Okeke 17 0-3 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Mo Bamba 12 0-5 0-4 0-2 2 1 0 0 0 - -
R.J. Hampton 11 1-2 1-1 2-2 4 2 1 0 5 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 35 6-16 2-6 4-4 1 10 1 0 18 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 34 8-16 6-10 2-2 5 2 1 0 24 - -
Saddiq Bey * 31 2-5 0-2 4-4 6 3 1 0 8 - -
Jaden Ivey * 31 8-15 2-4 1-1 3 4 3 0 19 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 26 3-6 1-4 7-8 5 3 2 0 14 - -
Jalen Duren 21 7-13 0-0 0-4 10 1 0 3 14 - -
Killian Hayes 16 1-9 0-3 1-1 5 5 3 1 3 - -
Cory Joseph 15 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 8 - -
Hamidou Diallo 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Knox II 13 1-8 1-6 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter