🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-10-19

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 22.1% 77.9% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 43.7% 56.3% -
Efficiency 43.2% 56.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% -
Points Off/Def 37.6% 62.4% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +14 (123-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 35 12-25 3-10 4-4 14 8 0 0 31 - -
Anthony Davis * 35 10-22 0-3 7-9 6 0 4 1 27 - -
Russell Westbrook * 30 7-12 1-3 4-5 11 3 1 0 19 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 29 2-7 0-3 1-2 3 5 1 1 5 - -
Patrick Beverley * 24 1-5 1-5 0-0 2 2 4 2 3 - -
Kendrick Nunn 23 5-9 3-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 13 - -
Matt Ryan 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 - -
Austin Reaves 16 1-3 0-2 1-1 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 14 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 7 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Max Christie 1 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Cole Swider 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 32 10-22 4-13 9-9 6 7 4 1 33 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 29 8-14 4-7 0-0 6 4 1 1 20 - -
Draymond Green * 24 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 5 0 0 4 - -
Kevon Looney * 21 3-4 0-0 1-1 6 2 1 0 7 - -
Klay Thompson * 19 6-13 2-6 4-5 2 3 1 0 18 - -
Jordan Poole 28 4-15 2-9 2-2 2 7 2 0 12 - -
JaMychal Green 23 3-6 2-3 0-0 7 0 1 0 8 - -
Donte DiVincenzo 21 3-6 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 0 8 - -
James Wiseman 16 4-6 0-0 0-4 7 0 0 1 8 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Moses Moody 7 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Ryan Rollins 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter