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2022-10-18

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 26.5% 73.5% -
Bradley-Terry 19.4% 80.6% -
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 39.1% 60.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.2% 60.8% -
Log Adjusted 39.2% 60.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.1% 61.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +9 (126-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Maxey * 38 8-16 2-5 3-3 1 2 2 0 21 - -
Joel Embiid * 37 9-18 1-6 7-9 15 5 0 1 26 - -
James Harden * 37 9-14 5-9 12-12 8 7 0 0 35 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 7-14 3-6 1-2 2 0 3 0 18 - -
P.J. Tucker * 33 3-5 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 1 6 - -
De'Anthony Melton 20 2-4 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 5 - -
Danuel House Jr. 16 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 2 0 1 - -
Georges Niang 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Montrezl Harrell 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -
Matisse Thybulle 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 13-20 2-7 7-9 12 4 1 1 35 - -
Jaylen Brown * 38 14-24 4-12 3-3 3 2 2 1 35 - -
Marcus Smart * 36 3-8 1-4 7-8 3 7 1 0 14 - -
Derrick White * 24 1-3 0-1 0-1 3 4 1 0 2 - -
Al Horford * 23 2-7 2-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 6 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 23 7-11 0-2 2-2 2 4 2 0 16 - -
Grant Williams 23 5-5 3-3 2-3 1 1 0 0 15 - -
Noah Vonleh 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 - -
Blake Griffin 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 - -
Sam Hauser 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter