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2022-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% -
Bradley-Terry 38.7% 61.3% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% -
Efficiency 15.4% 84.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Log Adjusted 17.8% 82.2% -
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +12 (118-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Livers * 23 5-5 2-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 14 - -
Frank Jackson * 22 4-9 0-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Saddiq Bey * 13 2-7 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 13 4-4 2-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 10 - -
Killian Hayes * 10 3-7 1-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 8 - -
Saben Lee 31 1-4 0-0 9-12 2 8 1 0 11 - -
Luka Garza 30 8-18 2-7 2-6 10 4 0 1 20 - -
Carsen Edwards 25 2-9 1-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 - -
Rodney McGruder 24 2-7 0-3 1-2 5 1 0 1 5 - -
Jamorko Pickett 23 2-6 2-5 0-0 5 0 0 1 6 - -
Braxton Key 21 5-7 1-2 1-1 5 3 1 1 12 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matisse Thybulle * 35 3-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 2 7 - -
Tobias Harris * 23 3-10 0-0 0-0 5 6 1 0 6 - -
DeAndre Jordan * 23 4-6 0-0 0-2 11 1 0 1 8 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 23 9-15 0-4 7-7 2 3 0 0 25 - -
Danny Green * 19 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 2 3 0 0 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 32 2-10 1-7 4-4 3 4 0 1 9 - -
Shake Milton 32 11-18 1-3 7-7 4 4 2 1 30 - -
Isaiah Joe 28 2-9 2-7 2-2 4 2 2 0 8 - -
Paul Reed 20 12-14 0-0 1-1 6 2 4 1 25 - -

* = starter