Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +14 (125-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mychal Mulder * | 42 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 40 | 7-17 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 35 | 13-22 | 5-11 | 9-11 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 40 | - | - | |
| Omer Yurtseven * | 35 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Duncan Robinson * | 20 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Javonte Smart | 33 | 8-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Udonis Haslem | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Gabe Vincent | 12 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Hampton * | 33 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chuma Okeke * | 29 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 29 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba * | 27 | 7-11 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | - | - | |
| Devin Cannady | 33 | 4-10 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Ignas Brazdeikis | 24 | 6-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter