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2022-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.4% 27.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 65.7% 34.3% - ✓
Margin 74.4% 25.6% -5.9 ✓ (15.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% - ✓
Efficiency 69.7% 30.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 69.0% 31.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 69.0% 31.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 59.0% 41.0% - ✓

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans -21 (107-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 30 16-29 7-14 2-3 3 2 0 0 41 - -
Jordan Poole * 28 7-16 4-9 4-4 4 5 0 2 22 - -
Draymond Green * 24 2-2 1-1 2-2 3 6 1 0 7 - -
Moses Moody * 19 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 5 - -
Kevon Looney * 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 4 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 28 7-10 3-4 1-2 5 2 1 0 18 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 24 3-4 2-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 8 - -
Damion Lee 23 4-7 1-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 11 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 22 2-3 0-1 0-0 7 7 2 0 4 - -
Gary Payton II 17 4-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
Quinndary Weatherspoon 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naji Marshall * 32 8-15 0-4 3-3 5 6 0 0 19 - -
Trey Murphy III * 26 6-13 2-6 1-1 6 1 2 0 15 - -
Willy Hernangomez * 19 3-11 0-0 2-2 9 2 1 0 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 16 1-6 1-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 5 - -
CJ McCollum * 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Gary Clark 27 6-9 4-5 1-2 6 3 1 0 17 - -
Tony Snell 25 3-7 2-6 0-0 1 2 2 0 8 - -
Garrett Temple 23 2-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Jose Alvarado 22 6-12 0-2 0-2 6 0 1 0 12 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 20 3-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 7 - -
Jared Harper 20 4-9 2-6 0-0 1 9 1 0 10 - -

* = starter