Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.8% | 41.2% | -2.0 | ✓ (27.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -29 (110-139). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 26 | 11-14 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Daniel Theis * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Brown * | 23 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 23 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Derrick White | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 19 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 15 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 13 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 9 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Malik Fitts | 9 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Brodric Thomas | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 5 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Konchar * | 39 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams * | 27 | 6-18 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 25 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton * | 24 | 4-13 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 31 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 31 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Yves Pons | 25 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter