Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -16 (114-130). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 34 | 10-20 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 24 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 32 | 7-13 | 4-4 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - | |
| Danilo Gallinari * | 31 | 9-14 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - | |
| Kevin Huerter * | 30 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 27 | 5-14 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 22 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | |
| Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Skylar Mays | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | |
| Sharife Cooper | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 40 | 10-24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 16 | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 39 | 14-26 | 4-11 | 9-11 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 41 | 20 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 34 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 31 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 30 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 19 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 17 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | |
| David Nwaba | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter