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2022-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Denver Nuggets Spread Result
Elo 15.2% 84.8% -
Bradley-Terry 29.9% 70.1% -
Margin 22.5% 77.5% +6.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.6% 60.4% -
Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.1% 69.9% -
Log Adjusted 30.1% 69.9% -
Points Off/Def 31.7% 68.3% -

Actual: Denver Nuggets -5 (141-146). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stanley Johnson * 46 5-9 1-4 4-4 8 3 0 0 15 - -
Austin Reaves * 41 7-17 3-5 14-14 16 10 2 1 31 - -
Wenyen Gabriel * 38 6-13 0-1 2-5 10 3 0 2 14 - -
Malik Monk * 35 14-25 7-14 6-6 4 1 0 0 41 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker * 13 3-8 0-3 4-5 1 3 0 1 10 - -
Wayne Ellington 29 6-10 4-8 2-2 2 0 0 1 18 - -
Mason Jones 23 1-3 0-1 7-8 5 3 1 0 9 - -
Mac McClung 21 2-5 1-3 1-1 3 1 1 1 6 - -
D.J. Augustin 15 0-4 0-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 - -

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bryn Forbes * 36 6-14 5-11 7-7 1 1 1 0 24 - -
Bones Hyland * 24 6-15 2-9 3-3 4 6 0 3 17 - -
Jeff Green * 23 7-8 0-1 2-2 2 2 0 1 16 - -
DeMarcus Cousins * 23 5-7 2-3 5-6 9 5 1 2 17 - -
Austin Rivers * 22 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 7 - -
Davon Reed 29 6-10 2-3 0-3 3 4 1 0 14 - -
Zeke Nnaji 26 1-9 0-4 3-3 2 2 0 0 5 - -
Markus Howard 24 8-17 2-8 7-8 3 1 1 0 25 - -
Vlatko Cancar 23 1-2 0-0 0-2 8 4 0 0 2 - -
JaMychal Green 22 5-7 0-1 1-2 9 3 3 1 11 - -
Facundo Campazzo 8 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 4 2 0 3 - -

* = starter