Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +10 (130-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 31 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 31 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Joshua Primo * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 28 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones | 20 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Joe Wieskamp | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Devontae Cacok | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 28 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 24 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 17 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 13 | 5-5 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Moses Wright | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter