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2022-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 30.7% 69.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% - ✓
Margin 29.0% 71.0% +4.9 ✓ (11.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% - ✓
Efficiency 34.1% 65.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.3% 62.7% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - ✓

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +16 (124-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rui Hachimura * 32 9-19 1-4 2-2 4 2 1 0 21 - -
Deni Avdija * 31 5-12 1-5 1-1 5 4 1 0 12 - -
Daniel Gafford * 27 4-9 0-0 5-10 7 1 1 2 13 - -
Corey Kispert * 25 8-12 4-8 0-0 3 1 0 0 20 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 20 2-3 1-1 0-0 6 9 1 0 5 - -
Raul Neto 22 3-6 0-0 3-3 1 2 2 0 9 - -
Anthony Gill 19 3-10 1-2 2-2 8 2 0 0 9 - -
Vernon Carey Jr. 18 4-7 0-0 3-8 7 0 1 1 11 - -
Ish Smith 17 4-9 0-0 0-0 0 2 3 0 8 - -
Isaiah Todd 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 - -
Cassius Winston 4 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Schakel 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rozier * 31 10-18 5-9 0-0 3 6 0 0 25 - -
LaMelo Ball * 28 8-16 6-7 2-2 10 9 1 0 24 - -
Miles Bridges * 27 3-12 1-4 2-2 7 5 0 1 9 - -
P.J. Washington * 24 4-4 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 1 9 - -
Mason Plumlee * 21 4-6 0-0 0-2 8 2 0 2 8 - -
Cody Martin 24 1-3 0-1 3-3 5 3 2 1 5 - -
Montrezl Harrell 22 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 1 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 20 6-8 2-2 0-0 6 2 0 1 14 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. 16 2-5 2-5 0-2 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Isaiah Thomas 12 5-8 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 14 - -
James Bouknight 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
JT Thor 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Kai Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 - -
Arnoldas Kulboka 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter