🐻⬇️🏀

@
2022-04-10

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Margin 63.5% 36.5% -3.0 ✓ (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.6% 47.4% - ✓
Efficiency 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 66.7% 33.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 66.7% 33.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 56.8% 43.2% - ✓

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -6 (94-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 34 3-19 1-11 11-11 6 8 0 0 18 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 34 5-13 2-7 3-8 2 0 0 0 15 - -
Draymond Green * 31 6-10 0-1 0-0 13 8 1 1 12 - -
Damion Lee * 23 1-6 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Kevon Looney * 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 6 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 25 2-5 1-2 1-2 6 1 0 0 6 - -
Gary Payton II 23 3-5 0-2 0-0 6 0 1 0 6 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 21 6-8 2-2 4-4 4 2 2 0 18 - -
Andre Iguodala 17 1-3 0-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 3 - -
Nemanja Bjelica 16 3-6 2-3 4-4 2 2 1 0 12 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tre Jones * 32 5-14 1-3 4-6 4 7 1 0 15 - -
Joshua Primo * 31 5-13 3-6 1-2 1 3 0 0 14 - -
Josh Richardson * 22 4-8 2-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Keita Bates-Diop * 22 4-7 0-2 1-1 2 0 1 0 9 - -
Zach Collins * 22 2-5 0-1 3-4 11 2 0 3 7 - -
Lonnie Walker IV 27 8-15 2-7 6-6 5 2 1 0 24 - -
Jock Landale 27 1-10 1-6 3-4 11 2 0 0 6 - -
Joe Wieskamp 22 1-3 1-3 1-2 2 2 0 0 4 - -
Devontae Cacok 21 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 - -
Romeo Langford 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 - -

* = starter