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2022-04-09

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 15.9% 84.1% +9.2 (17.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.8% 73.2% -
Log Adjusted 26.8% 73.2% -
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +27 (141-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 29 6-17 2-6 2-6 1 4 1 0 16 - -
Jaxson Hayes * 24 5-12 0-4 3-5 5 1 0 1 13 - -
Devonte' Graham * 18 3-6 1-4 2-3 0 4 1 0 9 - -
Herbert Jones * 17 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 1 4 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 5 3-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 8 - -
Willy Hernangomez 33 5-11 0-1 5-7 10 4 0 0 15 - -
Jose Alvarado 22 5-8 0-2 2-2 1 5 1 0 12 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 - -
Trey Murphy III 15 1-6 1-3 5-5 2 0 0 0 8 - -
Naji Marshall 15 1-3 0-0 3-3 2 1 0 1 5 - -
Tony Snell 12 3-6 0-2 1-1 0 1 0 0 7 - -
Gary Clark 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Garrett Temple 8 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Jared Harper 7 5-6 1-1 1-1 0 2 3 0 12 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 26 7-14 2-3 5-7 4 9 0 1 21 - -
Dillon Brooks * 23 9-16 3-5 2-2 3 5 0 0 23 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 21 2-4 1-3 7-7 9 0 0 4 12 - -
Steven Adams * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 11 4 0 1 4 - -
Desmond Bane * 20 6-7 4-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 18 - -
De'Anthony Melton 24 5-10 2-6 0-0 3 3 1 1 12 - -
Kyle Anderson 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 4 0 1 7 - -
Ziaire Williams 21 7-12 4-7 1-3 3 2 1 0 19 - -
Brandon Clarke 17 10-10 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 20 - -
Tyus Jones 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 8 1 0 0 - -
Xavier Tillman 8 1-3 1-3 0-2 0 1 2 0 3 - -
Yves Pons 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 - -
John Konchar 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter