Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.0% | 81.0% | +8.0 | ✓ (42.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +50 (128-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Elleby * | 36 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson * | 30 | 3-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Brandon Williams * | 23 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Ben McLemore | 30 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Elijah Hughes | 29 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Didi Louzada | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Reggie Perry | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Keljin Blevins | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 29 | 12-21 | 7-14 | 8-11 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 39 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 27 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 23 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Brunson * | 22 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 21 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie | 16 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Sterling Brown | 14 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trey Burke | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter