Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +2 (117-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 38 | 12-23 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 36 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 32 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 26 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews * | 25 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 30 | 9-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 21 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 39 | 12-24 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 38 | 9-21 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch * | 27 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Armoni Brooks * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 24 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Yuta Watanabe | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter