Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✓ (28.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -30 (101-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khris Middleton * | 28 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 6 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 27 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 11-13 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 37 | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 21 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 23 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 21 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| George Hill | 16 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Lindell Wigginton | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Rayjon Tucker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 38 | 6-18 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 32 | 7-19 | 2-12 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 4 | - | |
| Killian Hayes * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 26 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | - | |
| Isaiah Livers * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 23 | 9-11 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 22 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk | 22 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - | |
| Braxton Key | 19 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Frank Jackson | 15 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Carsen Edwards | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter