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2022-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 21.5% 78.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 19.5% 80.5% +7.8 (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.5% 64.5% -
Efficiency 18.4% 81.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.6% 82.4% -
Log Adjusted 17.5% 82.5% -
Points Off/Def 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +16 (128-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Monk * 37 8-17 3-9 5-6 7 4 1 2 24 21 -
Talen Horton-Tucker * 36 15-28 2-6 8-9 3 3 4 0 40 22 -
Stanley Johnson * 34 2-7 1-4 3-7 6 2 2 0 8 11 -
Austin Reaves * 32 3-8 1-4 5-6 3 1 0 0 12 8 -
Dwight Howard * 25 6-10 1-1 3-4 12 1 1 1 16 21 -
D.J. Augustin 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 -
Wenyen Gabriel 20 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 6 6 -
Wayne Ellington 16 1-5 1-5 3-4 4 0 0 0 6 5 -
Kent Bazemore 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 33 12-22 6-10 3-3 4 4 0 0 33 19 -
Jordan Poole * 33 7-15 3-8 2-2 4 11 1 0 19 20 -
Andrew Wiggins * 27 7-12 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 17 11 -
Draymond Green * 26 5-9 0-0 0-0 3 7 2 2 10 15 -
Kevon Looney * 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 4 9 -
Otto Porter Jr. 29 4-12 2-5 0-0 8 1 2 0 10 9 -
Gary Payton II 24 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 2 2 1 10 13 -
Andre Iguodala 20 2-7 1-3 0-0 2 7 2 0 5 9 -
Nemanja Bjelica 15 4-5 0-0 1-1 6 3 1 0 9 14 -
Jonathan Kuminga 7 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 6 7 -
Damion Lee 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Moses Moody 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter