Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (122-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Brooks * | 26 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Desmond Bane * | 22 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| De'Anthony Melton | 22 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson | 21 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| John Konchar | 21 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 19 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 9 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Yves Pons | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 16-24 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 34 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Will Barton * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green * | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 24 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 25 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 20 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Markus Howard | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeMarcus Cousins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter