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2022-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 73.9% 26.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.6% 53.4% -
Margin 37.4% 62.6% +2.8 (30.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% -
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.0% 80.0% -
Log Adjusted 19.9% 80.1% -
Points Off/Def 25.9% 74.1% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +33 (127-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keon Johnson * 31 2-9 2-5 0-0 1 8 1 0 6 7 -
CJ Elleby * 30 7-11 2-5 1-2 2 0 0 0 17 8 -
Greg Brown III * 30 2-5 0-3 0-0 7 5 1 1 4 13 -
Drew Eubanks * 26 9-11 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 1 20 17 -
Kris Dunn * 20 0-2 0-0 2-2 2 6 2 0 2 10 -
Ben McLemore 22 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 9 6 -
Reggie Perry 21 7-10 0-1 1-1 3 1 4 2 15 15 -
Didi Louzada 18 3-4 3-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 11 10 -
Brandon Williams 16 1-4 0-1 3-4 1 4 0 0 5 6 -
Keljin Blevins 14 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 0 -
Elijah Hughes 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 28 9-19 5-10 0-2 4 7 3 0 23 18 -
Herbert Jones * 25 3-6 1-3 2-2 8 3 0 1 9 15 -
Jaxson Hayes * 24 5-7 0-1 1-1 3 0 1 0 11 8 -
Jonas Valanciunas * 21 5-11 0-0 4-4 8 2 0 0 14 13 -
Devonte' Graham * 19 1-4 1-4 3-3 0 5 2 0 6 9 -
Willy Hernangomez 25 5-8 0-0 7-7 14 1 1 0 17 25 -
Jose Alvarado 21 2-6 1-4 2-4 1 9 4 0 7 15 -
Larry Nance Jr. 17 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 12 11 -
Trey Murphy III 17 4-9 3-6 1-1 2 0 1 0 12 6 -
Naji Marshall 12 1-5 0-2 1-2 1 2 1 0 3 2 -
Gary Clark 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 1 -
Tony Snell 7 2-3 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 4 -
Garrett Temple 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 -1 -
Jared Harper 5 2-4 1-3 3-3 0 0 0 0 8 4 -

* = starter