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2022-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 67.5% 32.5% -
Bradley-Terry 52.8% 47.2% -
Margin 65.6% 34.4% -3.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 50.5% 49.5% -
Efficiency 59.6% 40.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% -
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +6 (127-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick White * 38 6-13 4-8 3-3 6 3 0 0 19 - -
Jaylen Brown * 37 8-20 2-8 4-7 10 11 1 1 22 - -
Grant Williams * 36 2-7 0-4 0-0 8 2 2 2 4 - -
Daniel Theis * 31 8-12 3-3 3-5 5 3 0 0 22 - -
Marcus Smart * 30 10-16 7-12 2-2 1 7 2 0 29 - -
Payton Pritchard 19 5-10 2-7 0-0 4 2 1 1 12 - -
Sam Hauser 17 4-5 3-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 - -
Luke Kornet 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 5 1 1 0 2 - -
Aaron Nesmith 11 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Khris Middleton * 39 9-18 3-8 1-1 8 9 2 1 22 - -
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 38 11-21 0-4 7-10 11 5 2 1 29 - -
Jrue Holiday * 38 10-19 4-9 5-8 8 8 3 1 29 - -
Wesley Matthews * 27 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 1 1 1 7 - -
Brook Lopez * 23 7-16 1-4 0-0 7 0 0 1 15 - -
Bobby Portis 26 7-11 3-4 0-0 7 1 1 0 17 - -
Pat Connaughton 20 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 6 - -
George Hill 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 - -
Jevon Carter 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter