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2022-04-07

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (2.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 49.8% 50.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.4% 51.6% -
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% -
Points Off/Def 44.4% 55.6% -

Actual: Toronto Raptors +5 (119-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 39 3-12 1-4 6-6 4 15 0 0 13 - -
Tobias Harris * 38 3-8 2-5 0-0 7 1 2 0 8 - -
Danny Green * 38 6-9 6-7 0-1 5 4 1 1 18 - -
Joel Embiid * 37 10-22 0-4 10-12 10 2 1 1 30 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 36 7-11 4-5 4-5 3 4 2 1 22 - -
Georges Niang 18 3-7 3-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 9 - -
Shake Milton 17 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 9 - -
Paul Reed 10 2-2 0-0 1-1 7 0 1 0 5 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Trent Jr. * 41 12-21 5-8 1-1 5 3 1 0 30 - -
Scottie Barnes * 40 6-12 1-3 0-0 10 2 0 0 13 - -
Precious Achiuwa * 40 7-11 5-7 1-2 4 2 1 1 20 - -
Pascal Siakam * 37 14-28 1-7 8-10 11 12 2 0 37 - -
Khem Birch * 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 30 2-10 1-5 1-2 5 2 3 0 6 - -
Chris Boucher 24 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 3 7 - -
Malachi Flynn 12 1-2 1-1 1-1 0 1 0 0 4 - -

* = starter